Kyle Brodziak vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kyle Brodziak holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 51.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.9% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 77.9%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 55.7%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 58.9%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 64.9%
35.1%
64.9%
Brodziak
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Brodziak
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 7: Brodziak 2-5 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Brodziak
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Brodziak
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Brodziak
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (808)
48.3% (633)
+4.8%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
64.6% (48)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (149)
43.0% (86)
+4.0%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Brodziak is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (670).
Brodziak shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
56.6% (477)
52.0% (419)
Away
47.8% (490)
44.8% (348)
By Period
Brodziak
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
54.1%
51.5%
P2
55.5%
45.9%
P3
47.0%
48.1%
OT
100.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
52.1%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2017 | 3 | 14:37 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 16:58 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 09:47 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 09:37 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 05:44 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 1 | 18:12 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 1 | 06:58 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |