Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (76% H2H, 33 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 49.7% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 50-33 in 83 meetings
Offensive zone
Brodziak 79.5%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 86.9%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 80.7%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 81.9%
81.9%
18.1%
Brodziak
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
33
-
50
(83 meetings)
33
50
Brodziak
O'Reilly
Last 10: Brodziak 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
8
25
Brodziak
O'Reilly
33 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
14
8
Brodziak
O'Reilly
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
11
17
Brodziak
O'Reilly
28 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (6,432)
56.2% (15,260)
-5.7%
Power Play
52.8% (326)
58.8% (3,445)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (1,344)
51.4% (2,811)
-5.9%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Brodziak is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,811).
Brodziak shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,689).
Home / Away
Brodziak
O'Reilly
Home
50.4% (4,044)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
49.0% (4,089)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Brodziak
O'Reilly
P1
49.2%
55.6%
P2
50.7%
57.0%
P3
49.5%
55.1%
OT
42.0%
62.2%
Final 5 min
49.4%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2019 | 3 | 13:22 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 3 | 05:43 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 3 | 11:27 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 3 | 02:19 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 2 | 11:24 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 1 | 14:09 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 5, 2018 | 1 | 16:27 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 11:38 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 18:05 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 04:30 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 05:20 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 3 | 19:56 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 14:55 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 19:28 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 1 | 06:19 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 2 | 13:13 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 2 | 08:50 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 2 | 07:49 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |