Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 49.3% vs O'Reilly 53.2% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brodziak 67.5%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 82.0%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 69.9%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Brodziak
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Brodziak
O'Reilly
Last 9: Brodziak 2-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
5
Brodziak
O'Reilly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
2
0
Brodziak
O'Reilly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Brodziak
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (538)
52.7% (900)
-3.4%
Power Play
22.2% (9)
55.6% (225)
-33.4%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (140)
54.5% (209)
-3.8%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +33.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Brodziak is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Brodziak shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (527).
Home / Away
Brodziak
O'Reilly
Home
50.0% (310)
55.1% (693)
Away
48.5% (377)
51.6% (641)
By Period
Brodziak
O'Reilly
P1
49.5%
51.5%
P2
53.0%
54.7%
P3
44.7%
52.7%
OT
50.0%
69.7%
Final 5 min
55.5%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 3 | 15:56 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 2 | 12:59 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 2 | 12:06 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 2 | 10:41 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 2 | 03:15 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 3 | 19:56 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 15:07 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |