Scouting Report
Kyle Brodziak holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Brodziak wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 48.4% vs Monahan 46.3% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 79.4%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 71.2%
Neutral zone
Monahan 57.9%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Brodziak
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
13
(19 meetings)
6
13
Brodziak
Monahan
Last 10: Brodziak 2-8 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
9
Brodziak
Monahan
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
3
Brodziak
Monahan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodziak
2
1
Brodziak
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (994)
45.9% (908)
+3.3%
Power Play
70.4% (27)
49.1% (108)
+21.3%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (202)
30.0% (20)
+10.6%
On power play, Brodziak has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Brodziak is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (842).
Brodziak shoots right. Monahan is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Monahan
Home
49.6% (593)
48.7% (528)
Away
47.0% (630)
43.1% (508)
By Period
Brodziak
Monahan
P1
48.2%
50.1%
P2
46.3%
44.7%
P3
51.3%
42.7%
OT
23.5%
55.6%
Final 5 min
46.5%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.2%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2014 | 3 | 07:09 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 3, 2014 | 3 | 01:46 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 3 | 13:02 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 3 | 09:45 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 3 | 09:31 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 3 | 07:18 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 2 | 16:17 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 2 | 14:23 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 2 | 10:51 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 2 | 08:36 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 1 | 18:03 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 1 | 02:31 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 10:32 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 2 | 12:33 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 2 | 05:06 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 1 | 18:13 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 1 | 16:31 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 1 | 12:16 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |