Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Brodziak on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Brodziak wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 48.4% vs Horcoff 50.1% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horcoff 57.7%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 76.7%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 57.8%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Brodziak
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Brodziak
Horcoff
Last 5: Brodziak 2-3 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
2
1
Brodziak
Horcoff
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
2
Brodziak
Horcoff
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (994)
52.7% (347)
-3.5%
Power Play
70.4% (27)
40.0% (20)
+30.4%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (202)
36.0% (50)
+4.6%
On power play, Brodziak has a +30.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Brodziak is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (842).
Brodziak shoots right. Horcoff is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (151).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Horcoff
Home
49.6% (593)
57.0% (165)
Away
47.0% (630)
45.6% (252)
By Period
Brodziak
Horcoff
P1
48.2%
46.8%
P2
46.3%
50.6%
P3
51.3%
50.9%
OT
23.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.2%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2014 | 1 | 11:04 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 1 | 07:49 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 3 | 11:31 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 1 | 09:43 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 1 | 03:29 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |