Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.1% vs 53.0%). Look for Brodziak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 51.9% vs Crosby 52.9% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 90.8%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 76.8%
Neutral zone
Crosby 58.3%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Brodziak
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Brodziak
Crosby
Last 9: Brodziak 6-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Brodziak
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
5
0
Brodziak
Crosby
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Brodziak
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (808)
52.5% (1,479)
+0.6%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
55.7% (397)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (149)
47.5% (59)
-0.5%
On power play, Crosby has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Brodziak is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (670).
Brodziak shoots right. Crosby is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (736).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Crosby
Home
56.6% (477)
54.9% (993)
Away
47.8% (490)
51.1% (942)
By Period
Brodziak
Crosby
P1
54.1%
52.2%
P2
55.5%
53.2%
P3
47.0%
53.4%
OT
100.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
55.3%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
52.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 18:34 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 2 | 12:06 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 1 | 01:36 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 1 | 01:07 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 3 | 19:25 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 3 | 12:26 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 3 | 04:58 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 2 | 12:52 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 1 | 03:20 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |