Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 49.7% vs Hertl 54.1% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 17-10 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Brodziak 52.3%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 85.8%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 69.8%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Brodziak
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
17
(27 meetings)
10
17
Brodziak
Hertl
Last 10: Brodziak 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
10
Brodziak
Hertl
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
4
2
Brodziak
Hertl
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Brodziak
Hertl
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (6,432)
53.6% (8,077)
-3.1%
Power Play
52.8% (326)
59.7% (1,916)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (1,344)
46.0% (793)
-0.5%
On power play, Hertl has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Brodziak is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,811).
Brodziak shoots right. Hertl is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,031).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Hertl
Home
50.4% (4,044)
55.6% (5,217)
Away
49.0% (4,089)
52.7% (5,569)
By Period
Brodziak
Hertl
P1
49.2%
53.6%
P2
50.7%
53.9%
P3
49.5%
55.1%
OT
42.0%
46.8%
Final 5 min
49.4%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.7%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 17:06 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 07:51 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 03:23 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 3 | 10:44 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 13:32 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 09:13 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 09:05 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 12:25 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 20, 2018 | 1 | 08:35 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 20, 2018 | 1 | 08:09 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 2 | 14:08 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 1 | 17:43 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 14:12 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 03:32 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 10:17 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 3 | 15:14 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 2 | 15:30 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |