Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 49.7% vs Hertl 54.2% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 17-10 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 52.6%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 84.3%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 65.5%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Brodziak
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
17
(27 meetings)
10
17
Brodziak
Hertl
Last 10: Brodziak 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
10
Brodziak
Hertl
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
4
2
Brodziak
Hertl
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Brodziak
Hertl
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (6,432)
53.8% (8,268)
-3.3%
Power Play
52.8% (326)
59.3% (1,975)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (1,344)
46.3% (806)
-0.8%
On power play, Hertl has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Brodziak is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,811).
Brodziak shoots right. Hertl is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,133).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Hertl
Home
50.4% (4,044)
55.7% (5,344)
Away
49.0% (4,089)
52.8% (5,705)
By Period
Brodziak
Hertl
P1
49.2%
53.6%
P2
50.7%
54.1%
P3
49.5%
55.3%
OT
42.0%
46.5%
Final 5 min
49.4%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.7%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 17:06 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 07:51 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 03:23 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 3 | 10:44 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 13:32 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 09:13 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 09:05 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 12:25 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 20, 2018 | 1 | 08:35 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 20, 2018 | 1 | 08:09 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 2 | 14:08 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 1 | 17:43 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 14:12 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 03:32 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 10:17 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 3 | 15:14 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 2 | 15:30 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |