Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 22 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 49.7% vs Seguin 53.6% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 29-18 in 47 meetings
Offensive zone
Brodziak 54.1%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 78.3%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 63.1%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Brodziak
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
29
(47 meetings)
18
29
Brodziak
Seguin
Last 10: Brodziak 5-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
5
17
Brodziak
Seguin
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
8
6
Brodziak
Seguin
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
5
6
Brodziak
Seguin
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (6,432)
53.7% (8,071)
-3.2%
Power Play
52.8% (326)
55.9% (810)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (1,344)
49.3% (762)
-3.8%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Brodziak is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,322).
Brodziak shoots right. Seguin is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,846).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Seguin
Home
50.4% (4,044)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
49.0% (4,089)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Brodziak
Seguin
P1
49.2%
52.8%
P2
50.7%
53.3%
P3
49.5%
54.7%
OT
42.0%
54.7%
Final 5 min
49.4%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2019 | 3 | 09:47 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 2 | 16:53 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 1 | 04:59 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 3, 2018 | 3 | 06:08 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 09:54 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 13:18 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 10:59 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 03:07 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 1 | 17:22 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 1 | 15:26 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 1 | 01:23 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 1 | 01:15 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 1 | 14:11 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 17:22 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 1 | 11:14 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 1 | 05:44 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 3 | 03:21 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 05:00 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 04:07 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 1 | 12:00 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |