Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 49.3% vs Seguin 53.2% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 55.3%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 76.7%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 61.0%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Brodziak
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Brodziak
Seguin
Last 5: Brodziak 1-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
3
Brodziak
Seguin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Brodziak
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (538)
53.9% (482)
-4.6%
Power Play
22.2% (9)
35.3% (17)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (140)
75.0% (12)
-24.3%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Brodziak is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Brodziak shoots right. Seguin is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Seguin
Home
50.0% (310)
58.9% (231)
Away
48.5% (377)
49.6% (280)
By Period
Brodziak
Seguin
P1
49.5%
51.5%
P2
53.0%
48.5%
P3
44.7%
61.7%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
55.5%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2015 | 3 | 13:31 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 3 | 07:20 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 1 | 17:21 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 1 | 12:02 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 1 | 11:24 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |