Scouting Report
Kyle Brodziak holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Jost on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 49.7% vs Jost 40.5% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jost 63.0%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 65.2%
Neutral zone
Jost 57.2%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Brodziak
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Brodziak
Jost
Last 7: Brodziak 3-4 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
3
Brodziak
Jost
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
3
0
Brodziak
Jost
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Brodziak
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (6,432)
41.0% (1,977)
+9.5%
Power Play
52.8% (326)
34.7% (72)
+18.1%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (1,344)
34.9% (249)
+10.6%
On power play, Brodziak has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Brodziak is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,811).
Brodziak shoots right. Jost is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (857).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Jost
Home
50.4% (4,044)
42.0% (1,208)
Away
49.0% (4,089)
38.1% (1,090)
By Period
Brodziak
Jost
P1
49.2%
38.5%
P2
50.7%
41.2%
P3
49.5%
40.8%
OT
42.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.7%
Jost
40.0%▼
44.5%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 15:29 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 1 | 12:12 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 3 | 10:33 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 3 | 04:20 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 3 | 01:23 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 2 | 11:04 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 1 | 08:34 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |