Scouting Report
Kyle Chipchura holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Chipchura on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Chipchura shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 46.7% vs Chipchura 51.5% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 85.4%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 50.8%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 68.8%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Jarnkrok
Chipchura
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Jarnkrok
Chipchura
Last 5: Jarnkrok 1-4 Chipchura
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chipchura
0
2
Jarnkrok
Chipchura
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chipchura
1
2
Jarnkrok
Chipchura
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Chipchura
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (601)
52.8% (790)
-5.7%
Power Play
50.0% (18)
35.3% (17)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (22)
45.9% (109)
-27.7%
On penalty kill, Chipchura has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chipchura shoots left. Jarnkrok is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Chipchura is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Chipchura
Home
44.5% (362)
52.5% (465)
Away
48.4% (279)
50.8% (451)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Chipchura
P1
48.5%
53.6%
P2
45.9%
50.9%
P3
44.7%
50.0%
OT
16.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.8%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.2%
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2014 | 1 | 18:30 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 2 | 05:12 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 1 | 15:37 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 1 | 15:34 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 1 | 10:49 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |