Scouting Report
Kyle Chipchura holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Emmerton on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Emmerton wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Chipchura shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Emmerton 46.2% vs Chipchura 48.8% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chipchura 64.3%
Defensive zone
Chipchura 60.2%
Neutral zone
Chipchura 63.0%
Result
Kyle Chipchura favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Emmerton
Chipchura
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Emmerton
Chipchura
Last 9: Emmerton 6-3 Chipchura
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Emmerton
2
1
Emmerton
Chipchura
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Emmerton
1
0
Emmerton
Chipchura
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Emmerton
3
2
Emmerton
Chipchura
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Emmerton
Chipchura
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (368)
48.6% (255)
-3.8%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
50.0% (4)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
0.0% (2)
+48.8%
On penalty kill, Emmerton has a +48.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chipchura shoots left. Emmerton is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Emmerton shoots left. Chipchura is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Home / Away
Emmerton
Chipchura
Home
44.6% (213)
49.1% (163)
Away
46.0% (200)
46.9% (98)
By Period
Emmerton
Chipchura
P1
46.3%
48.2%
P2
43.8%
52.2%
P3
45.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
37.6%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
45.3%
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2013 | 1 | 07:28 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 2 | 01:47 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 1 | 11:24 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 2 | 05:34 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 02:07 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 12:17 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 09:31 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 04:01 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 06:27 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |