Scouting Report
Kyle Chipchura holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Chipchura on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Larsson wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Chipchura shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 45.4% vs Chipchura 51.5% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larsson 81.5%
Defensive zone
Chipchura 62.0%
Neutral zone
Larsson 66.5%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Larsson
Chipchura
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Larsson
Chipchura
Last 8: Larsson 3-5 Chipchura
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
0
Larsson
Chipchura
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chipchura
1
4
Larsson
Chipchura
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chipchura
0
1
Larsson
Chipchura
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Chipchura
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (290)
52.8% (790)
-7.6%
Power Play
38.6% (44)
35.3% (17)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
45.9% (109)
-17.3%
On penalty kill, Chipchura has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chipchura shoots left. Larsson is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Larsson shoots left. Chipchura is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Home / Away
Larsson
Chipchura
Home
45.1% (153)
52.5% (465)
Away
43.1% (188)
50.8% (451)
By Period
Larsson
Chipchura
P1
45.3%
53.6%
P2
41.4%
50.9%
P3
44.0%
50.0%
OT
60.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
38.6%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2015 | 2 | 10:17 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 2 | 07:01 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 3 | 17:56 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 3 | 16:01 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 3 | 14:08 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 3 | 04:29 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 2 | 18:00 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 1 | 18:04 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |