Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Chipchura on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings). Toews wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Chipchura shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.2% vs Chipchura 51.5% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Chipchura leads 15-9 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 52.4%
Defensive zone
Chipchura 88.7%
Neutral zone
Chipchura 72.4%
Result
Kyle Chipchura favored at 69.9%
30.1%
69.9%
Toews
Chipchura
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
15
(24 meetings)
9
15
Toews
Chipchura
Last 10: Toews 6-4 Chipchura
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
5
4
Toews
Chipchura
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chipchura
0
10
Toews
Chipchura
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
4
1
Toews
Chipchura
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Chipchura
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (1,229)
52.8% (790)
+2.1%
Power Play
62.7% (354)
35.3% (17)
+27.4%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (92)
45.9% (109)
+8.4%
On power play, Toews has a +27.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chipchura shoots left. Toews is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,050).
Toews shoots left. Chipchura is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Home / Away
Toews
Chipchura
Home
57.6% (838)
52.5% (465)
Away
55.4% (837)
50.8% (451)
By Period
Toews
Chipchura
P1
58.0%
53.6%
P2
54.4%
50.9%
P3
56.7%
50.0%
OT
64.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.3%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.5%
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2015 | 3 | 19:21 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 3 | 11:03 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 3 | 09:09 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 3 | 09:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 3 | 06:03 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 2 | 11:56 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 2 | 09:35 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 2 | 05:40 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 1 | 18:27 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 1 | 15:34 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 1 | 09:02 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 1 | 04:04 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 1 | 03:58 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 1 | 00:47 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 9, 2015 | 3 | 19:16 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Feb 9, 2015 | 3 | 19:07 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Feb 9, 2015 | 3 | 07:21 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Feb 9, 2015 | 3 | 05:03 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |