Scouting Report
Kyle Chipchura holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Chipchura on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Chipchura 50.3% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 66.0%
Defensive zone
Hayes 60.9%
Neutral zone
Hayes 62.0%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Hayes
Chipchura
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Hayes
Chipchura
Last 5: Hayes 1-4 Chipchura
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayes
Chipchura
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chipchura
0
3
Hayes
Chipchura
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Chipchura
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
50.9% (2,100)
-3.4%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
45.7% (46)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
45.0% (171)
+0.3%
On power play, Hayes has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chipchura shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Hayes shoots left. Chipchura is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,553).
Home / Away
Hayes
Chipchura
Home
48.1% (3,982)
50.7% (1,143)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
49.9% (1,179)
By Period
Hayes
Chipchura
P1
47.5%
51.1%
P2
47.6%
50.3%
P3
47.9%
48.9%
OT
54.1%
78.6%
Final 5 min
49.3%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2015 | 3 | 19:55 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Feb 26, 2015 | 3 | 01:35 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Feb 26, 2015 | 1 | 14:10 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 3 | 13:13 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 2 | 16:28 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |