Scouting Report
Kyle Chipchura holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chipchura 50.3% vs Ellis 46.8% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ellis 55.6%
Defensive zone
Ellis 54.8%
Neutral zone
Ellis 60.0%
Result
Matt Ellis favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Chipchura
Ellis
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Chipchura
Ellis
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ellis
0
1
Chipchura
Ellis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chipchura
Ellis
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (2,100)
47.3% (607)
+3.6%
Power Play
45.7% (46)
28.6% (7)
+17.1%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (171)
42.1% (95)
+2.9%
On power play, Chipchura has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ellis shoots left. Chipchura is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,553).
Chipchura shoots left. Ellis is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Home / Away
Chipchura
Ellis
Home
50.7% (1,143)
48.5% (303)
Away
49.9% (1,179)
44.8% (406)
By Period
Chipchura
Ellis
P1
51.1%
50.0%
P2
50.3%
46.2%
P3
48.9%
41.3%
OT
78.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
50.3%
Ellis
42.0%▼
49.0%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2014 | 1 | 05:02 | Defensive | Matt Ellis |