Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Chipchura wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chipchura 51.5% vs Koivu 54.9% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 58.6%
Defensive zone
Chipchura 82.2%
Neutral zone
Chipchura 61.4%
Result
Kyle Chipchura favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Chipchura
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Chipchura
Koivu
Last 5: Chipchura 1-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Chipchura
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
2
Chipchura
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chipchura
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (790)
55.3% (1,268)
-2.5%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
57.6% (321)
-22.3%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (109)
51.0% (202)
-5.1%
On power play, Koivu has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Chipchura is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Chipchura shoots left. Koivu is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Home / Away
Chipchura
Koivu
Home
52.5% (465)
58.3% (906)
Away
50.8% (451)
52.1% (885)
By Period
Chipchura
Koivu
P1
53.6%
53.0%
P2
50.9%
55.6%
P3
50.0%
56.6%
OT
66.7%
64.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
51.6%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2015 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 1 | 00:09 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 08:31 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |