Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chipchura 48.2% vs Thompson 49.6% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chipchura 75.8%
Defensive zone
Thompson 67.8%
Neutral zone
Chipchura 56.6%
Result
Kyle Chipchura favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Chipchura
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Chipchura
Thompson
Last 8: Chipchura 3-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Chipchura
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
4
Chipchura
Thompson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chipchura
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (332)
50.2% (408)
-2.3%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
69.2% (13)
-40.6%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (23)
47.0% (164)
+0.8%
On power play, Thompson has a +40.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Chipchura is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (256).
Chipchura shoots left. Thompson is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Chipchura
Thompson
Home
46.5% (159)
49.3% (304)
Away
48.5% (204)
49.7% (288)
By Period
Chipchura
Thompson
P1
50.4%
49.7%
P2
47.0%
46.9%
P3
45.2%
52.1%
OT
100.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
38.2%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
47.7%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 14:26 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 08:29 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 04:55 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 04:51 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 19:14 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 15:39 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 12:09 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 12:02 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |