Scouting Report
Kyle Chipchura holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Chipchura on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Chipchura wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chipchura 52.4% vs Bonino 48.9% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chipchura 60.2%
Defensive zone
Chipchura 72.2%
Neutral zone
Chipchura 70.3%
Result
Kyle Chipchura favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Chipchura
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Chipchura
Bonino
Last 8: Chipchura 5-3 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
2
Chipchura
Bonino
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chipchura
4
1
Chipchura
Bonino
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chipchura
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (326)
49.6% (837)
+3.5%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
50.7% (223)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
41.0% (134)
+25.7%
On penalty kill, Chipchura has a +25.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Chipchura is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (209).
Chipchura shoots left. Bonino is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (735).
Home / Away
Chipchura
Bonino
Home
53.1% (147)
50.7% (564)
Away
53.3% (184)
47.1% (630)
By Period
Chipchura
Bonino
P1
45.2%
44.9%
P2
59.3%
50.1%
P3
55.4%
50.9%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
64.7%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
53.2%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2014 | 3 | 09:05 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 28, 2013 | 1 | 15:02 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 28, 2013 | 1 | 02:42 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 08:03 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 04:55 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 04:29 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 01:53 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |