Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chipchura 48.8% vs Gaustad 57.9% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chipchura 85.0%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 57.6%
Neutral zone
Chipchura 65.9%
Result
Kyle Chipchura favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Chipchura
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Chipchura
Gaustad
Last 5: Chipchura 1-4 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Chipchura
Gaustad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Chipchura
Gaustad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
2
Chipchura
Gaustad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chipchura
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (255)
59.8% (353)
-11.2%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
66.7% (15)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
58.0% (81)
-58.0%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +58.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Chipchura is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Chipchura shoots left. Gaustad is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Chipchura
Gaustad
Home
49.1% (163)
62.1% (195)
Away
46.9% (98)
57.9% (254)
By Period
Chipchura
Gaustad
P1
48.2%
59.4%
P2
52.2%
58.1%
P3
42.9%
61.3%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.2%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2013 | 3 | 18:16 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 3 | 02:40 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 3 | 16:34 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 3 | 01:53 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 2 | 14:15 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |