Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Chipchura wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chipchura 52.4% vs Gaustad 57.4% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chipchura 81.4%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 59.4%
Neutral zone
Chipchura 61.6%
Result
Kyle Chipchura favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Chipchura
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Chipchura
Gaustad
Last 5: Chipchura 1-4 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chipchura
1
0
Chipchura
Gaustad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
4
Chipchura
Gaustad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chipchura
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (326)
59.3% (913)
-6.2%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
72.2% (18)
-22.2%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
52.8% (269)
+13.9%
On power play, Gaustad has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Chipchura is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (209).
Chipchura shoots left. Gaustad is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Chipchura
Gaustad
Home
53.1% (147)
58.6% (604)
Away
53.3% (184)
57.4% (596)
By Period
Chipchura
Gaustad
P1
45.2%
61.5%
P2
59.3%
55.7%
P3
55.4%
56.6%
OT
100.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
64.7%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
53.2%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2014 | 3 | 04:07 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 2 | 16:20 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 2 | 05:25 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 1 | 12:10 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 31, 2013 | 1 | 09:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |