Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Chipchura on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chipchura 50.3% vs Stastny 55.1% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Chipchura leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 87.6%
Defensive zone
Stastny 61.1%
Neutral zone
Stastny 75.3%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 76.4%
23.6%
76.4%
Chipchura
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
9
(23 meetings)
14
9
Chipchura
Stastny
Last 10: Chipchura 7-3 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
4
5
Chipchura
Stastny
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chipchura
4
2
Chipchura
Stastny
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chipchura
6
2
Chipchura
Stastny
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chipchura
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (2,100)
54.6% (10,616)
-3.7%
Power Play
45.7% (46)
59.1% (1,994)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (171)
52.9% (1,119)
-7.9%
On power play, Stastny has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Chipchura is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,553).
Chipchura shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Chipchura
Stastny
Home
50.7% (1,143)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
49.9% (1,179)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Chipchura
Stastny
P1
51.1%
56.3%
P2
50.3%
55.4%
P3
48.9%
53.5%
OT
78.6%
62.9%
Final 5 min
50.3%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
50.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2015 | 2 | 19:57 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 2 | 19:51 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 2 | 18:36 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 2 | 15:38 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 3 | 03:34 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 08:17 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 01:41 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 1 | 00:26 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 1 | 00:29 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Apr 26, 2013 | OT | 03:15 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 3 | 06:28 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 2 | 02:51 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 03:10 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 2 | 03:45 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 3 | 19:57 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 3 | 19:46 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 3 | 19:36 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 2 | 14:37 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 2 | 12:42 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 2 | 04:51 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |