Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Chipchura wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chipchura 51.5% vs Stastny 57.3% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 81.9%
Defensive zone
Chipchura 62.4%
Neutral zone
Stastny 66.0%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Chipchura
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Chipchura
Stastny
Last 5: Chipchura 3-2 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Chipchura
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chipchura
2
0
Chipchura
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chipchura
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (790)
57.6% (959)
-4.8%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
60.8% (125)
-25.5%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (109)
58.1% (74)
-12.2%
On power play, Stastny has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Chipchura is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Chipchura shoots left. Stastny is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Home / Away
Chipchura
Stastny
Home
52.5% (465)
55.9% (590)
Away
50.8% (451)
60.0% (568)
By Period
Chipchura
Stastny
P1
53.6%
59.6%
P2
50.9%
59.0%
P3
50.0%
55.3%
OT
66.7%
58.3%
Final 5 min
51.4%
65.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
51.6%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2015 | 3 | 03:34 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 08:17 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 01:41 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 1 | 00:26 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 1 | 00:29 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |