Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 15 meetings). Chipchura wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chipchura 50.3% vs Kesler 55.9% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 30-18 in 48 meetings
Offensive zone
Chipchura 83.7%
Defensive zone
Chipchura 83.6%
Neutral zone
Chipchura 87.5%
Result
Kyle Chipchura favored at 84.8%
84.8%
15.2%
Chipchura
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
30
(48 meetings)
18
30
Chipchura
Kesler
Last 10: Chipchura 4-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
9
9
Chipchura
Kesler
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
4
11
Chipchura
Kesler
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
5
10
Chipchura
Kesler
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chipchura
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (2,100)
56.4% (8,095)
-5.5%
Power Play
45.7% (46)
60.7% (1,437)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (171)
50.5% (1,908)
-5.5%
On power play, Kesler has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Chipchura is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (769).
Chipchura shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Chipchura
Kesler
Home
50.7% (1,143)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
49.9% (1,179)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Chipchura
Kesler
P1
51.1%
56.5%
P2
50.3%
55.9%
P3
48.9%
56.1%
OT
78.6%
46.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
50.3%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 09:58 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 13:01 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 10:04 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 09:51 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 1 | 06:43 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 1 | 06:38 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 1 | 00:13 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 11:47 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 07:15 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 06:56 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 02:55 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 2 | 18:39 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 2 | 15:47 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 1 | 16:55 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 1 | 16:45 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 1 | 10:33 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 1 | 10:29 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |