Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Chipchura wins 40.7% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chipchura 47.5% vs Kesler 57.0% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Chipchura 77.9%
Defensive zone
Chipchura 82.1%
Neutral zone
Chipchura 77.4%
Result
Kyle Chipchura favored at 78.9%
78.9%
21.1%
Chipchura
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Chipchura
Kesler
Last 10: Chipchura 4-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Chipchura
Kesler
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
4
Chipchura
Kesler
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
4
Chipchura
Kesler
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chipchura
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (254)
57.3% (1,022)
-10.4%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
61.5% (200)
+24.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
54.9% (257)
-21.6%
On power play, Chipchura has a +24.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Chipchura is 40.7% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Chipchura shoots left. Kesler is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,091).
Home / Away
Chipchura
Kesler
Home
48.7% (154)
58.6% (766)
Away
44.2% (129)
56.2% (730)
By Period
Chipchura
Kesler
P1
50.6%
58.9%
P2
42.6%
56.8%
P3
47.1%
57.5%
Final 5 min
44.1%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
46.6%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2011 | 3 | 10:53 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 6, 2011 | 3 | 08:05 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 2 | 10:37 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 1 | 07:05 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 3 | 15:45 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 3 | 10:52 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 3 | 08:54 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 3 | 06:22 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 3 | 02:14 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 3 | 02:11 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 3 | 01:59 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 2 | 18:14 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 2 | 09:49 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 2 | 06:14 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |