Kyle Chipchura vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chipchura 50.3% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 16-11 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Chipchura 76.0%
Defensive zone
Chipchura 73.7%
Neutral zone
Chipchura 73.4%
Result
Kyle Chipchura favored at 74.1%
74.1%
25.9%
Chipchura
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
16
(27 meetings)
11
16
Chipchura
O'Reilly
Last 10: Chipchura 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
4
Chipchura
O'Reilly
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
4
5
Chipchura
O'Reilly
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
4
7
Chipchura
O'Reilly
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chipchura
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (2,100)
56.2% (15,260)
-5.3%
Power Play
45.7% (46)
58.8% (3,445)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (171)
51.4% (2,811)
-6.4%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Chipchura is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,553).
Chipchura shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Chipchura
O'Reilly
Home
50.7% (1,143)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
49.9% (1,179)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Chipchura
O'Reilly
P1
51.1%
55.6%
P2
50.3%
57.0%
P3
48.9%
55.1%
OT
78.6%
62.2%
Final 5 min
50.3%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
50.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2015 | 3 | 19:35 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 3 | 09:01 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 3 | 05:08 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 3 | 03:59 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 2 | 17:24 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 2 | 04:17 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 1 | 18:31 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 1 | 04:57 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 1 | 04:43 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 1 | 01:16 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 3 | 10:35 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 3 | 05:27 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 3 | 05:21 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 2 | 18:53 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 2 | 02:44 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 09:41 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 03:43 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 1 | 18:32 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 3 | 05:01 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 3 | 02:28 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |