Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chipchura 50.3% vs Koivu 51.8% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 14-5 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Chipchura 56.0%
Defensive zone
Koivu 54.5%
Neutral zone
Chipchura 54.0%
Result
Kyle Chipchura favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Chipchura
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
14
(19 meetings)
5
14
Chipchura
Koivu
Last 10: Chipchura 1-9 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Chipchura
Koivu
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
6
Chipchura
Koivu
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
5
Chipchura
Koivu
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chipchura
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (2,100)
51.9% (3,221)
-1.0%
Power Play
45.7% (46)
59.3% (437)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (171)
48.0% (764)
-3.0%
On power play, Koivu has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Chipchura is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,553).
Chipchura shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Home / Away
Chipchura
Koivu
Home
50.7% (1,143)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
49.9% (1,179)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Chipchura
Koivu
P1
51.1%
51.1%
P2
50.3%
52.6%
P3
48.9%
51.8%
OT
78.6%
52.3%
Final 5 min
50.3%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
50.3%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2013 | 2 | 17:55 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Mar 6, 2013 | 2 | 10:30 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 3 | 12:56 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 3 | 01:56 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 2 | 17:19 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 2 | 06:34 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 1 | 10:34 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 1 | 10:12 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 1 | 01:29 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 3 | 19:08 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 2 | 07:06 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 2 | 07:01 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 1 | 13:42 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 1 | 01:53 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 1 | 19:45 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 3 | 10:13 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 12:19 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 12:08 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |