Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chipchura 50.3% vs Ott 55.4% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chipchura 61.2%
Defensive zone
Chipchura 55.1%
Neutral zone
Chipchura 59.1%
Result
Kyle Chipchura favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Chipchura
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Chipchura
Ott
Last 9: Chipchura 4-5 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ott
1
4
Chipchura
Ott
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chipchura
2
1
Chipchura
Ott
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chipchura
1
0
Chipchura
Ott
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chipchura
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (2,100)
57.2% (2,802)
-6.3%
Power Play
45.7% (46)
55.4% (567)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (171)
49.9% (853)
-4.9%
On power play, Ott has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Chipchura is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,553).
Chipchura shoots left. Ott is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,552).
Home / Away
Chipchura
Ott
Home
50.7% (1,143)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
49.9% (1,179)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Chipchura
Ott
P1
51.1%
56.7%
P2
50.3%
53.9%
P3
48.9%
55.7%
OT
78.6%
60.8%
Final 5 min
50.3%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
50.3%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2015 | 1 | 12:11 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 2 | 04:06 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 2 | 01:40 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 2 | 19:50 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 2 | 13:23 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 2 | 00:42 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 1 | 12:25 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 1 | 06:27 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 1 | 03:43 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |