Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Chipchura wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chipchura 50.3% vs Seguin 53.6% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Chipchura 59.9%
Defensive zone
Chipchura 68.2%
Neutral zone
Chipchura 64.7%
Result
Kyle Chipchura favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
Chipchura
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Chipchura
Seguin
Last 10: Chipchura 2-8 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Chipchura
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
3
Chipchura
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
3
Chipchura
Seguin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chipchura
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (2,100)
53.7% (8,071)
-2.8%
Power Play
45.7% (46)
55.9% (810)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (171)
49.3% (762)
-4.3%
On power play, Seguin has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Chipchura is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (769).
Chipchura shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Chipchura
Seguin
Home
50.7% (1,143)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
49.9% (1,179)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Chipchura
Seguin
P1
51.1%
52.8%
P2
50.3%
53.3%
P3
48.9%
54.7%
OT
78.6%
54.7%
Final 5 min
50.3%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
50.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2014 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 2 | 10:56 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 1 | 17:48 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 06:53 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 14:31 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 01:42 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 2 | 03:19 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 2 | 08:54 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |