Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chipchura 51.5% vs Seguin 53.2% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 62.1%
Defensive zone
Chipchura 73.3%
Neutral zone
Chipchura 51.2%
Result
Kyle Chipchura favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Chipchura
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Chipchura
Seguin
Last 8: Chipchura 2-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Chipchura
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Chipchura
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
3
Chipchura
Seguin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chipchura
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (790)
53.9% (482)
-1.1%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
35.3% (17)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (109)
75.0% (12)
-29.1%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +29.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Chipchura is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Chipchura shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Chipchura
Seguin
Home
52.5% (465)
58.9% (231)
Away
50.8% (451)
49.6% (280)
By Period
Chipchura
Seguin
P1
53.6%
51.5%
P2
50.9%
48.5%
P3
50.0%
61.7%
OT
66.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.4%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
51.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2014 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 2 | 10:56 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 1 | 17:48 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 06:53 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 14:31 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 01:42 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |