Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.2%). Look for Blackwell on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 49.3% vs MacLean 48.5% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacLean 76.6%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 72.4%
Neutral zone
MacLean 64.1%
Result
Kyle MacLean favored at 71.6%
28.4%
71.6%
Blackwell
MacLean
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Blackwell
MacLean
Last 5: Blackwell 5-0 MacLean
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Blackwell
3
0
Blackwell
MacLean
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blackwell
2
0
Blackwell
MacLean
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
MacLean
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (184)
47.6% (540)
+0.8%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
66.7% (3)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (121)
60.9% (23)
-11.3%
On penalty kill, MacLean has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacLean shoots left. Blackwell is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Blackwell shoots right. MacLean is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Blackwell
MacLean
Home
41.7% (151)
47.6% (273)
Away
56.1% (157)
48.8% (293)
By Period
Blackwell
MacLean
P1
46.5%
45.5%
P2
52.4%
48.8%
P3
48.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▬
44.5%
49.0%
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:13 | Offensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:09 | Offensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 02:10 | Neutral | Colin Blackwell |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 02:04 | Offensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 18:57 | Neutral | Colin Blackwell |