Scouting Report
Rodrigo Abols holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Abols on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). MacLean wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Abols shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacLean 47.9% vs Abols 53.1% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacLean 72.8%
Defensive zone
MacLean 71.1%
Neutral zone
MacLean 75.2%
Result
Kyle MacLean favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
MacLean
Abols
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
MacLean
Abols
Last 8: MacLean 1-7 Abols
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Abols
0
2
MacLean
Abols
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Abols
0
4
MacLean
Abols
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
MacLean
Abols
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacLean
Abols
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (849)
53.7% (402)
-6.5%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
57.1% (7)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (30)
57.1% (7)
-0.4%
On even strength, Abols has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Abols shoots left. MacLean is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (572).
MacLean shoots left. Abols is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (268).
Home / Away
MacLean
Abols
Home
46.9% (426)
56.3% (215)
Away
48.4% (461)
51.2% (201)
By Period
MacLean
Abols
P1
46.6%
55.6%
P2
49.7%
47.3%
P3
46.5%
59.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
47.7%
Abols
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 19:23 | Offensive | Rodrigo Abols |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 10:08 | Defensive | Rodrigo Abols |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 10:02 | Neutral | Rodrigo Abols |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:05 | Defensive | Rodrigo Abols |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 04:48 | Defensive | Rodrigo Abols |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 2 | 02:35 | Defensive | Rodrigo Abols |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 1 | 05:14 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 1 | 01:50 | Offensive | Rodrigo Abols |