Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Okposo on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Thornton wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Okposo shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 57.3% vs Okposo 49.8% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Okposo 90.1%
Defensive zone
Thornton 57.1%
Neutral zone
Okposo 76.6%
Result
Kyle Okposo favored at 71.2%
28.8%
71.2%
Thornton
Okposo
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Thornton
Okposo
Last 5: Thornton 1-4 Okposo
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Okposo
0
3
Thornton
Okposo
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Thornton
Okposo
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Okposo
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (722)
49.1% (108)
+9.6%
Power Play
58.5% (147)
46.8% (47)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
83.3% (6)
-32.1%
On penalty kill, Okposo has a +32.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Okposo shoots right. Thornton is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (427).
Thornton shoots left. Okposo is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (130).
Home / Away
Thornton
Okposo
Home
60.1% (496)
50.0% (68)
Away
55.8% (459)
49.5% (93)
By Period
Thornton
Okposo
P1
60.4%
41.9%
P2
54.7%
55.9%
P3
58.2%
49.1%
OT
61.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
58.0%
Okposo
48.0%▬
49.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2014 | 3 | 18:47 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 2 | 17:48 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 2 | 02:45 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Oct 16, 2014 | OT | 04:58 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 3 | 05:38 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |