Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Okposo on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Okposo 48.7% vs Stastny 55.1% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 68.6%
Defensive zone
Stastny 90.2%
Neutral zone
Stastny 84.1%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 77.9%
22.1%
77.9%
Okposo
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Okposo
Stastny
Last 8: Okposo 5-3 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Okposo
3
1
Okposo
Stastny
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Okposo
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Okposo
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Okposo
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (1,513)
54.6% (10,616)
-5.5%
Power Play
50.1% (391)
59.1% (1,994)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (151)
52.9% (1,119)
-13.2%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Okposo is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,523).
Okposo shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Okposo
Stastny
Home
50.2% (990)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
47.1% (1,065)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Okposo
Stastny
P1
48.8%
56.3%
P2
49.6%
55.4%
P3
47.3%
53.5%
OT
48.7%
62.9%
Final 5 min
49.0%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Okposo
48.0%▬
49.0%
48.6%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2023 | 2 | 06:57 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 10:48 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 04:24 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 00:08 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Okposo |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 1 | 07:37 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 00:59 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 1 | 02:30 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |