Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +19.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Palmieri wins 35.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Palmieri 37.1% vs Johansen 53.3% (-19.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 60.0%
Defensive zone
Johansen 83.9%
Neutral zone
Johansen 80.2%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 75.5%
24.5%
75.5%
Palmieri
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Palmieri
Johansen
Last 7: Palmieri 4-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Palmieri
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Palmieri
2
0
Palmieri
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
2
Palmieri
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Palmieri
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
32.3% (400)
53.1% (11,017)
-20.8%
Power Play
42.0% (50)
56.2% (2,163)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
50.5% (978)
+7.4%
On even strength, Johansen has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Palmieri is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Palmieri shoots right. Johansen is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (4,371).
Home / Away
Palmieri
Johansen
Home
37.5% (240)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
31.0% (229)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Palmieri
Johansen
P1
31.3%
53.2%
P2
38.3%
53.9%
P3
33.9%
52.8%
OT
18.2%
58.2%
Final 5 min
38.4%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Palmieri
38.0%▲
35.5%
34.3%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2018 | OT | 04:33 | Defensive | Kyle Palmieri |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 3 | 08:52 | Offensive | Kyle Palmieri |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 11:35 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 06:43 | Neutral | Kyle Palmieri |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 10:42 | Defensive | Kyle Palmieri |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 00:09 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 00:14 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |