Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +25.6% FO% edge overall. Palmieri wins 20.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Palmieri 39.8% vs Johansen 53.3% (-25.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 87.4%
Defensive zone
Johansen 76.6%
Neutral zone
Johansen 80.5%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 81.5%
18.5%
81.5%
Palmieri
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Palmieri
Johansen
Last 6: Palmieri 4-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Palmieri
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Palmieri
2
0
Palmieri
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Palmieri
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Palmieri
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
27.2% (81)
54.7% (1,149)
-27.5%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
49.7% (191)
-24.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
47.9% (121)
+52.1%
On penalty kill, Palmieri has a +52.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Palmieri is 20.6% vs right-shot opponents (34).
Palmieri shoots right. Johansen is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (493).
Home / Away
Palmieri
Johansen
Home
34.1% (44)
52.5% (739)
Away
21.4% (42)
54.6% (722)
By Period
Palmieri
Johansen
P1
25.0%
53.8%
P2
22.7%
55.8%
P3
50.0%
51.2%
OT
50.0%
52.4%
Final 5 min
33.3%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Palmieri
38.0%▲
35.5%
27.9%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2018 | OT | 04:33 | Defensive | Kyle Palmieri |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 3 | 08:52 | Offensive | Kyle Palmieri |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 11:35 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 06:43 | Neutral | Kyle Palmieri |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 10:42 | Defensive | Kyle Palmieri |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 00:09 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |