Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudette wins 43.8% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 46.0% vs Turris 48.4% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 68.0%
Defensive zone
Turris 66.8%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 56.8%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Gaudette
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Gaudette
Turris
Last 5: Gaudette 2-3 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
1
0
Gaudette
Turris
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turris
1
2
Gaudette
Turris
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turris
0
1
Gaudette
Turris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (94)
49.7% (165)
-9.3%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
40.0% (15)
+10.0%
On power play, Gaudette has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Gaudette is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Gaudette shoots right. Turris is 62.0% vs right-shot opponents (50).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Turris
Home
42.6% (61)
48.5% (99)
Away
42.9% (63)
46.7% (105)
By Period
Gaudette
Turris
P1
41.0%
49.2%
P2
45.7%
51.9%
P3
41.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
42.7%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2021 | 3 | 12:05 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 02:17 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 3 | 01:22 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 2 | 02:11 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 1 | 01:28 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |