Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.6% vs 53.1%). Look for Turris on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Richardson wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 51.8% vs Turris 52.8% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 76.8%
Defensive zone
Richardson 77.9%
Neutral zone
Richardson 56.4%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Richardson
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Richardson
Turris
Last 8: Richardson 3-5 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Richardson
Turris
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
1
0
Richardson
Turris
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turris
1
4
Richardson
Turris
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (177)
52.7% (942)
+1.5%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
54.9% (226)
-29.9%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (49)
52.6% (57)
-3.6%
On power play, Turris has a +29.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Richardson is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Richardson shoots left. Turris is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (891).
Home / Away
Richardson
Turris
Home
48.5% (101)
56.3% (627)
Away
55.8% (129)
49.7% (598)
By Period
Richardson
Turris
P1
45.5%
50.4%
P2
56.6%
53.9%
P3
54.5%
54.9%
OT
75.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
53.6%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
52.6%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 11:51 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 07:30 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 02:04 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 01:50 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 2 | 09:54 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 13:41 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 10:13 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 04:18 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |