Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Soderberg on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Soderberg wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 47.5% vs Turris 51.2% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 55.1%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 79.0%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 65.6%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Soderberg
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Soderberg
Turris
Last 7: Soderberg 2-5 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
0
2
Soderberg
Turris
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
2
1
Soderberg
Turris
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turris
0
2
Soderberg
Turris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (559)
50.9% (801)
-3.9%
Power Play
63.6% (77)
54.4% (204)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
32.5% (83)
43.6% (39)
-11.1%
On penalty kill, Turris has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Soderberg is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (312).
Soderberg shoots left. Turris is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Turris
Home
46.1% (369)
55.6% (482)
Away
48.3% (350)
47.7% (562)
By Period
Soderberg
Turris
P1
49.2%
49.1%
P2
47.7%
51.6%
P3
44.7%
53.4%
OT
33.3%
47.1%
Final 5 min
38.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.1%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2016 | 2 | 04:50 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 3 | 08:42 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 3 | 02:46 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 18:13 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 1 | 14:49 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 1 | 01:30 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 1 | 01:24 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |