Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kelly wins 61.7% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 56.2% vs Turris 49.1% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 52.7%
Defensive zone
Kelly 88.0%
Neutral zone
Kelly 70.0%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 71.5%
71.5%
28.5%
Kelly
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Kelly
Turris
Last 6: Kelly 5-1 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Turris
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
3
0
Kelly
Turris
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Turris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (298)
50.3% (648)
+8.4%
Power Play
100.0% (8)
41.1% (151)
+58.9%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (67)
52.1% (121)
-2.8%
On power play, Kelly has a +58.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Kelly is 61.7% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Kelly shoots left. Turris is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Home / Away
Kelly
Turris
Home
60.0% (200)
51.4% (453)
Away
55.5% (173)
46.7% (467)
By Period
Kelly
Turris
P1
55.9%
50.7%
P2
58.4%
50.5%
P3
60.9%
45.6%
OT
37.5%
55.6%
Final 5 min
60.0%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
57.9%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2013 | 2 | 09:55 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 3 | 19:28 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 3 | 16:41 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 3 | 10:37 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 3 | 01:26 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 1 | 14:43 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |