Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 50.3%). Look for Kelly on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 16 meetings). Kelly wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Turris 50.3% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Kelly leads 23-16 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Turris 76.6%
Defensive zone
Kelly 58.3%
Neutral zone
Turris 61.2%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Kelly
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
16
(39 meetings)
23
16
Kelly
Turris
Last 10: Kelly 8-2 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
5
8
Kelly
Turris
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
12
4
Kelly
Turris
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
6
4
Kelly
Turris
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
50.2% (7,653)
+0.9%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
52.4% (1,312)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
48.6% (580)
-3.9%
On power play, Kelly has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Kelly is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,370).
Kelly shoots left. Turris is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,446).
Home / Away
Kelly
Turris
Home
52.6% (1,965)
53.5% (4,794)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
47.1% (4,756)
By Period
Kelly
Turris
P1
49.2%
51.5%
P2
49.1%
50.8%
P3
51.9%
48.4%
OT
53.5%
56.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2015 | 2 | 06:24 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 3 | 12:55 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 2 | 03:33 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 13, 2014 | OT | 02:41 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 15:38 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 16:02 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 12:31 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 12:17 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 09:46 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 3 | 18:54 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 1 | 07:56 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 01:32 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 2 | 19:47 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 2 | 06:40 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Apr 28, 2013 | 2 | 09:55 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 3 | 19:28 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 3 | 16:41 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 3 | 10:37 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 3 | 01:26 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |