Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Wilson on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Wilson wins 40.7% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wilson 43.5% vs Turris 50.1% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wilson 51.7%
Defensive zone
Turris 62.2%
Neutral zone
Turris 50.8%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Wilson
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Wilson
Turris
Last 6: Wilson 3-3 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wilson
3
2
Wilson
Turris
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turris
0
1
Wilson
Turris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wilson
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (157)
49.4% (1,154)
-7.4%
Power Play
26.3% (19)
57.6% (217)
-31.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
41.6% (101)
-41.6%
On penalty kill, Turris has a +41.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Wilson is 40.7% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Wilson shoots left. Turris is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (934).
Home / Away
Wilson
Turris
Home
39.0% (77)
54.7% (760)
Away
40.6% (101)
45.1% (712)
By Period
Wilson
Turris
P1
35.4%
54.1%
P2
40.0%
50.2%
P3
41.9%
45.2%
OT
50.0%
61.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wilson
38.0%▼
47.0%
39.9%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 14:51 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 05:59 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 08:02 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 16:43 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 1 | 18:51 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 1 | 05:34 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |