Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Adams on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Adams wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adams 46.4% vs Turris 50.6% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 64.5%
Defensive zone
Turris 64.5%
Neutral zone
Turris 65.0%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 64.5%
35.5%
64.5%
Adams
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Adams
Turris
Last 5: Adams 3-2 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
0
1
Adams
Turris
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Adams
3
1
Adams
Turris
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adams
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (106)
49.5% (1,083)
-6.1%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
55.1% (156)
+44.9%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (32)
53.7% (190)
-9.9%
On power play, Adams has a +44.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Adams is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (51).
Adams shoots right. Turris is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Adams
Turris
Home
47.6% (82)
53.6% (703)
Away
38.6% (57)
47.8% (726)
By Period
Adams
Turris
P1
46.9%
54.3%
P2
38.3%
48.3%
P3
45.2%
49.1%
OT
100.0%
56.7%
Final 5 min
44.8%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adams
42.0%▼
45.0%
43.9%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2014 | 2 | 17:32 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 2 | 16:37 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 2 | 06:58 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 2 | 06:43 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 2 | 05:07 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |