Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 51.3%). Look for Helm on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Helm wins 65.7% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 50.3% vs Turris 51.2% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 56.2%
Defensive zone
Turris 64.4%
Neutral zone
Turris 61.2%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Helm
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Helm
Turris
Last 7: Helm 4-3 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Helm
3
1
Helm
Turris
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turris
1
2
Helm
Turris
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (49)
50.9% (801)
+4.2%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
54.4% (204)
-19.1%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
43.6% (39)
+10.9%
On power play, Turris has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Helm is 65.7% vs right-shot opponents (35).
Helm shoots left. Turris is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Home / Away
Helm
Turris
Home
45.5% (44)
55.6% (482)
Away
57.6% (33)
47.7% (562)
By Period
Helm
Turris
P1
27.3%
49.1%
P2
69.0%
51.6%
P3
48.0%
53.4%
OT
100.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
64.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.6%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 12:15 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 2 | 13:27 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 10, 2016 | 2 | 12:53 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 2 | 18:01 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 1 | 02:32 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 3 | 01:51 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 3 | 01:48 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |