Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.5% vs Turris 50.6% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 81.2%
Defensive zone
Turris 69.6%
Neutral zone
Roy 55.4%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Roy
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Roy
Turris
Last 6: Roy 2-4 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
0
Roy
Turris
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turris
0
3
Roy
Turris
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turris
0
1
Roy
Turris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (351)
49.5% (1,083)
-6.5%
Power Play
61.3% (106)
55.1% (156)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
53.7% (190)
-20.4%
On penalty kill, Turris has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Roy is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Roy shoots left. Turris is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (942).
Home / Away
Roy
Turris
Home
52.3% (241)
53.6% (703)
Away
41.3% (225)
47.8% (726)
By Period
Roy
Turris
P1
51.6%
54.3%
P2
46.4%
48.3%
P3
43.1%
49.1%
OT
33.3%
56.7%
Final 5 min
47.9%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.0%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2014 | 2 | 12:05 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 1 | 03:28 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 16, 2013 | 3 | 17:49 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 16, 2013 | 3 | 15:30 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 16, 2013 | 3 | 12:30 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 16, 2013 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |