Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Larkin wins 40.5% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 46.2% vs Turris 52.8% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Turris leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 76.7%
Defensive zone
Larkin 70.7%
Neutral zone
Larkin 75.5%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 75.6%
75.6%
24.4%
Larkin
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Larkin
Turris
Last 10: Larkin 4-6 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Larkin
Turris
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turris
0
1
Larkin
Turris
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turris
2
6
Larkin
Turris
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (391)
52.7% (942)
-7.2%
Power Play
41.4% (29)
54.9% (226)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
52.6% (57)
-2.6%
On power play, Turris has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Larkin is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Larkin shoots left. Turris is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (891).
Home / Away
Larkin
Turris
Home
47.0% (181)
56.3% (627)
Away
44.2% (251)
49.7% (598)
By Period
Larkin
Turris
P1
42.7%
50.4%
P2
52.4%
53.9%
P3
41.8%
54.9%
OT
20.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
49.0%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
45.4%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 15:27 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 07:40 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 05:37 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 13:07 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 07:49 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 15:23 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 10:26 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 10:21 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Apr 3, 2017 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Apr 3, 2017 | 2 | 19:44 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Apr 3, 2017 | 2 | 06:43 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 1 | 04:37 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 3 | 16:15 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 2 | 08:31 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |