Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Nielsen wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 50.1% vs Turris 51.2% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 53.1%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 81.8%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 62.4%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Nielsen
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Nielsen
Turris
Last 9: Nielsen 2-7 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
0
4
Nielsen
Turris
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
1
0
Nielsen
Turris
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turris
1
3
Nielsen
Turris
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (899)
50.9% (801)
-0.2%
Power Play
54.8% (73)
54.4% (204)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (197)
43.6% (39)
+2.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Nielsen is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (427).
Nielsen shoots left. Turris is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Turris
Home
51.1% (595)
55.6% (482)
Away
49.1% (574)
47.7% (562)
By Period
Nielsen
Turris
P1
53.2%
49.1%
P2
48.1%
51.6%
P3
49.3%
53.4%
OT
42.9%
47.1%
Final 5 min
49.2%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.1%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2015 | 3 | 17:02 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 3 | 16:13 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 3 | 08:58 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 3 | 03:06 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 1 | 05:02 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 1 | 02:32 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |