Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Rose wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rose 43.8% vs Turris 50.1% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rose 50.9%
Defensive zone
Rose 57.7%
Neutral zone
Rose 53.8%
Result
Jacob de la Rose favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Rose
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Rose
Turris
Last 7: Rose 3-4 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
1
2
Rose
Turris
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rose
2
1
Rose
Turris
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turris
0
1
Rose
Turris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rose
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (140)
49.4% (1,154)
-10.1%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
57.6% (217)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
41.6% (101)
+2.8%
On even strength, Turris has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Rose is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (87).
Rose shoots left. Turris is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (934).
Home / Away
Rose
Turris
Home
47.2% (72)
54.7% (760)
Away
34.1% (88)
45.1% (712)
By Period
Rose
Turris
P1
40.4%
54.1%
P2
35.6%
50.2%
P3
46.5%
45.2%
OT
0.0%
61.0%
Final 5 min
41.3%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rose
48.0%▲
44.5%
40.0%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2015 | 2 | 17:35 | Offensive | Jacob de la Rose |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 1 | 16:05 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 1 | 11:07 | Defensive | Jacob de la Rose |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 2 | 15:37 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 1 | 13:00 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 1 | 09:24 | Defensive | Jacob de la Rose |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |