Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lehtera on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 50.0% vs Turris 51.2% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 69.3%
Defensive zone
Turris 66.8%
Neutral zone
Turris 68.8%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 68.9%
31.1%
68.9%
Lehtera
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Lehtera
Turris
Last 7: Lehtera 6-1 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
5
0
Lehtera
Turris
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turris
0
1
Lehtera
Turris
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
1
0
Lehtera
Turris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (843)
50.9% (801)
-2.0%
Power Play
64.6% (96)
54.4% (204)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (30)
43.6% (39)
-6.9%
On power play, Lehtera has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Lehtera is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Lehtera shoots left. Turris is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Turris
Home
51.7% (520)
55.6% (482)
Away
48.1% (449)
47.7% (562)
By Period
Lehtera
Turris
P1
52.8%
49.1%
P2
54.0%
51.6%
P3
43.0%
53.4%
OT
50.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
46.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.1%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2016 | 3 | 14:50 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 4, 2016 | 3 | 06:09 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 4, 2016 | 2 | 14:39 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 4, 2016 | 2 | 11:19 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 4, 2016 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 4, 2016 | 2 | 03:17 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 4, 2016 | 1 | 06:40 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |