Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Turris wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Komarov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 52.8% vs Komarov 46.7% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 68.0%
Defensive zone
Komarov 82.8%
Neutral zone
Komarov 57.2%
Result
Leo Komarov favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Turris
Komarov
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Turris
Komarov
Last 5: Turris 2-3 Komarov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
2
1
Turris
Komarov
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Komarov
0
2
Turris
Komarov
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Komarov
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (942)
42.9% (56)
+9.8%
Power Play
54.9% (226)
42.9% (7)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (57)
46.0% (139)
+6.6%
On power play, Turris has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Komarov shoots left. Turris is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (891).
Turris shoots right. Komarov is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Turris
Komarov
Home
56.3% (627)
49.5% (103)
Away
49.7% (598)
40.4% (99)
By Period
Turris
Komarov
P1
50.4%
49.1%
P2
53.9%
39.0%
P3
54.9%
49.3%
OT
53.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
53.1%
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 10:51 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 09:40 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 09:29 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 02:24 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |